GX & Decarbonization Research

Xinyang Wei, Liangyu Chen, Yikun Lan +2

This paper analyzes spillover effects of the EU ETS on global equity markets from 2013 to 2021. Using contagion analysis and DCC-GARCH, it finds a positive association between EU carbon allowance prices and stock market performance worldwid…

Chen Lyu, Ke Wang, Bofeng Cai +1

Using a balanced panel of 1,957 thermal power units from 2018 to 2024, this study estimates the causal impacts of compliance pressure under China's national emissions trading scheme (CN ETS) on CO2 emissions. Units with allowance deficits r…

Xiaoqin Lu, Tianfen Yu, Yuanjun Huang +1

This study uses double machine learning to examine the impact of carbon emissions trading schemes (ETS) on corporate debt maturity structure. It finds that ETS may increase firms' reliance on short-term debt, highlighting how climate policy…

Diwei Zheng, Daxin Dong

This study evaluates the impact of China's carbon emissions trading scheme (ETS) on land surface ecological quality (LSEQ) using a difference-in-differences approach on 328 Chinese cities from 2005-2020. The ETS improved LSEQ by 0.0113 on a…

Bingzi Jin, Xiaojie Xu

This study proposes a novel Gaussian process regression (GPR) model optimized via Bayesian framework to forecast carbon prices in China's Emissions Trading Scheme (CHNTS). Using daily settlement data from July 2021 to April 2025, the model …

Yuehan Fang, Yan Li, Lei Chang +2

This study forecasts carbon prices under scenarios of expanding China's ETS to cover steel and electrolytic aluminum sectors using a VMD-SVR model. Results show market expansion causes short-term price increases but reduces volatility, with…

Dr. Deeksha S.

This paper proposes an institutional framework (Farmer-Corporate Carbon Institutional Model, FCCIM) for transforming farmer-managed agroforestry into verified carbon credits, addressing corporate Scope 3 emissions and smallholder income div…

Ranran Zhang

This paper systematically examines methodological challenges in empirically pricing corporate carbon risk under China's dual carbon goals (2030 peak, 2060 neutrality). It identifies three core issues: poor data reliability (e.g., omitted Sc…

Wenqi Chai

This paper empirically examines whether carbon pricing policies cause firm-level capital reallocation, focusing on China's emissions trading system. Using firm-level data, it estimates causal effects and provides evidence on the economic im…

V. D. Smirnov, I. D. Tyukhmeneva

This paper argues that mass demand for green products requires cost parity with conventional alternatives. It proposes using internal carbon pricing (ICP) as a strategic financial planning tool to integrate future environmental risks into p…

Song Chai, Jin Yang, Lin Tang +3

This study examines how China's Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) interacts with its Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). Using provincial panel data from 1995-2021, it finds that higher RPS quotas dilute carbon price signals by compressing the…

Nour A. J. Azam, Yao Liu, Sajal Kabiraj +2

This study uses monthly panel data from 38 OECD economies (2000-2024) to analyze how digital trade and global value chains (GVCs) affect CO2 reductions. It finds a carbon pricing threshold of USD 40/tonne above which emissions drop signific…

Shengwen Zhu, Yicen Lu, Xiyu Zhou +1

This study uses PSM-DID to analyze the short-term impact of the EU CBAM transition period on ESG environmental scores of Chinese high-carbon firms. Results show the CBAM transition significantly inhibits environmental performance, with incr…

Ying Kuai, Yue Liu, Wu Wan +2

This paper constructs a carbon asset risk management framework for thermal power enterprises using LSTM carbon price prediction and option hedging. It caps procurement cost at 72.63 CNY/ton and covers over 90% of price increase risk. The st…

Tran Trong Duc, Thu Van Bui, Thị Thuý Hiền Nguyễn

This dataset supports analysis of asymmetric effects of EU carbon pricing on Vietnam's steel exports during the CBAM transition. It includes monthly data from January 2013 to December 2025 covering EU ETS carbon prices, Vietnam's steel expo…

Xuexue Zhang, FanYang Zeng

This paper explores the integration of carbon trading with Real World Assets (RWA) technology using blockchain to address issues like information opacity and low liquidity in traditional carbon markets. It analyzes the intrinsic logic and o…

MUHAMMAD RIDWAN, DODIK RIDHO NURROCHMAT, HANDIAN PURWAWANGSA +1

This study analyzes how the design of emission reference levels affects the equity and effectiveness of carbon trading incentives in Indonesia, ahead of its international carbon trading launch in 2025. It compares reference emissions across…

Maedeh Motalebi, Matthias Irger, Joanne Andrade +4

This paper develops an integrated BIM-LCA-optimization workflow for early-stage curtain wall façade design under carbon pricing uncertainty. Using Australian EPD data, deterministic optimization shows that carbon prices of 100-420 AUD/tCO2e…

Zehui Guo, Shujie Sun, Xiaoyang Chen +3

This paper empirically analyzes how external shocks shape the dynamic relationships between the EU carbon emissions trading market and fossil energy markets. Using time series data, it reveals changes in market linkages depending on shock t…

Milan Jakob Reda, Erik Gawel, Paul Lehmann +1

This paper examines the impact of carbon pricing on residential heating costs, highlighting regressive effects on low-income households and the need for complementary policies. It proposes measures to enhance social acceptability based on e…