GX & Decarbonization Research

Yang Cao, Donglan Zha, Ze He +2

This study uses explainable machine learning to forecast how EU carbon prices react to geopolitical risks, quantifying the impact of geopolitical events on the EU ETS. It provides actionable insights for policymakers and investors in carbon…

geruganti, sudhakar

This paper analyzes the paradox where CBAMs nullify FTA tariff benefits, using the India-UK FTA as a case study. It quantifies the de facto tariff of 20-40% from the UK's carbon price ($66/tCO2) versus India's low explicit price ($8-10/tCO2…

Luca E. Fierro, Severin Reissl, Francesco Lamperti +5

This study soft-links an integrated assessment model (WITCH) with a macro-financial agent-based model (DSK) to analyze the macroeconomic and financial impacts of rapid decarbonization driven by carbon pricing. Results show that fast-rising …

Lei Zhuang, Rui Chen

This study examines the impact of China's carbon emissions trading system (CETS) on the financial performance of listed industrial enterprises using panel data from 2009-2022. Employing multi-period difference-in-differences, propensity sco…

Rene Aid, Maria Arduca, Sara Biagini +1

This paper develops a theoretical framework to analyze how carbon pricing policies affect domestic energy producer prices and quantify the policy-driven price impacts of achieving net-zero emissions. It models energy firms' behavior under e…

Cristiana Tudor, Aura Girlovan, Robert Sova +2

This paper analyzes how emissions trading systems (ETS) transmit macroeconomic shocks using monthly data from seven jurisdictions. Using PVAR-CCE and XGBoost, it finds that ETS returns have spillover effects on unemployment and inflation, w…

Maciejowski, Jan, Leonelli, Manuele

This paper uses Bayesian networks to analyze drivers of EUA futures prices under the EU ETS, covering 2013-2025. Energy commodities (coal, oil) are the most influential, while stock market sentiment affects prices indirectly. The dynamic mo…

Ana Beatriz Leite, Teresa Ponce De Leão

This paper analyzes the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) as a carbon pricing policy for imports to prevent carbon leakage and ensure fair competition. It examines integration with the EU ETS, MRV systems, and a steel sector case…

Do Phu Hai

This study empirically evaluates the EU's CBAM and ETS linkage using gravity models and CGE simulations for six developing-country exporters. It finds carbon-intensive exports decline by 9–21% and EU welfare losses nearly double compared to…

Zhipeng Han, Liguo Wang

This study combines partial equilibrium modeling with empirical analysis to show that emissions trading systems (ETS) significantly promote green transformation of industrial enterprises by incentivizing low-carbon innovation and alleviatin…

C. José García, Begoña Herrero, Francisco Morillas‐Jurado

This study examines the impact of carbon prices under the EU Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) on firm-level GHG emissions and environmental innovation. Findings show carbon prices have a negative relationship with corporate CO2 emissions a…

Dai, C, Pollitt, MG

This study uses triangulated institutional analysis (policy archaeology, cognitive mapping, quantitative validation) of 346 documents and 22 expert interviews to examine the integration of China's national carbon market (CN-ETS) with local …

Lai Nam Tuan

This study analyzes the effectiveness of Emission Trading Systems (ETS) in reducing CO2 emissions across 11 Asian countries using a high-dimensional fixed effects regression. Results show that ETS effectiveness is highly contingent on count…

Wang, Baixue, Quan, Yifei, Duan, Maosheng

This study provides the first comprehensive ex-post evaluation of China's national ETS after three compliance periods, based on a nationwide survey. It examines allowance allocation, trading behavior, emissions accounting, and reduction act…

Kohlscheen, Emanuel, Moessner, Richhild, Takats, Elod

Using dynamic panel regressions on 121 countries, this study finds that higher carbon taxes and ETS prices significantly reduce CO2 emissions. A $10/ton increase in carbon tax reduces per capita emissions by 1.3% in the short run and 4.6% i…

Md Arafat Rahman

This study analyzes the relationship between carbon pricing and carbon intensity among India's top 100 firms using CDP data. It investigates how internal carbon pricing, SBTs, CSR, and R&D investment influence carbon disclosure and environm…

null Kasno, Lina Nurlaela

This study examines how Indonesia's hybrid carbon pricing strategy—combining a postponed carbon tax with an ETS and the IDXCarbon exchange—affects firm-level investment behavior. Results show that firms with higher exposure to ETS and CBAM …

Sagone, Simona, Cellura, Maurizio

This systematic literature review examines the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) from the perspective of Mediterranean developing countries, applying the Common But Differentiated Responsibilities (CBDR) principle. Analyzing 138 stu…

Nan-nan Liu, Shuyu Chen, Jun Kong +1

This paper examines the transition from China's CAFC-NEV credits policy to a carbon emission management system using a differential game model of a supply chain producing both ICEVs and NEVs. Results show that introducing carbon credits doe…

Ruoqi Han, Kai-zheng Liu, Xinyu Wang

This paper systematically evaluates China's carbon emission trading (ETS) policy from agenda-setting to implementation and impact analysis. It finds a positive effect on corporate green innovation, but with heterogeneity across industries, …